3 hours ago
10
The United States military has carried out airstrikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets in Iran using a B-1 bomber, according to reports from social media aggregator @IranIntl_En. This marks a significant escalation in the ongoing U.S.–Iran air campaign that has been active since early 2026. The B-1 bomber is known for its long-range capabilities and heavy payload, suggesting a strategic choice to target fortified sites. The air campaign has involved strikes on Iranian air defenses and missile sites, especially near the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint.
Key Takeaways
- The use of a B-1 bomber suggests a long-range, heavy-payload strike, indicating the targeting of strategically significant sites.
- Market pricing for a full Iranian airspace closure by July 31 has increased to 36% YES, suggesting heightened expectations of Iranian retaliation.
- The ongoing conflict and recent strike appear to have influenced the odds of Iran taking military action against a Gulf state, with near-term probabilities adjusting accordingly.
What to Watch
Observers should monitor announcements from the Civil Aviation Organization of Iran (CAOI) for any indications of airspace closure, which would be consistent with YES outcome support for airspace-related markets. Additionally, statements from Iranian leadership or allied Gulf states could influence market expectations regarding regional military escalations. The potential for further U.S. military actions or diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation will also be key indicators to watch.
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Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
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