Netherlands tops Group F at 2026 World Cup, Chiliz rallies as crypto rides tournament wave

The Netherlands did what the prediction markets said they would. On June 25, 2026, Ronald Koeman’s side beat Tunisia 3-1 to finish first in Group F at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Prediction markets on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi had the Dutch at roughly 80% implied probability to win the group, and the team delivered exactly that.

Next up for the Netherlands is a round of 16 matchup against Morocco, which finished second in its group.

What the World Cup is doing to crypto

Chiliz, the utility token powering the Socios fan engagement platform, rallied 28% during early World Cup matches in June 2026. In April 2026, anticipation around the potential launch of national-team tokens pushed CHZ up approximately 13%.

The Socios model works by letting fans buy tokens tied to their favorite clubs or national teams, which can then be used to vote on minor club decisions, access exclusive content, or simply be traded speculatively.

There are currently no official fan tokens for the Netherlands, Tunisia, Japan, or Sweden listed on major platforms like Chiliz or Socios. Tokens for $ARG and $SPAIN have been launching on various networks alongside the tournament.

Prediction markets and the Morocco matchup

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi registered considerable trading volume on Group F outcomes, with the Netherlands sitting at roughly 80% win probability heading into the final group stage matches.

Morocco reached the semifinals at the 2022 tournament in Qatar. A Netherlands vs. Morocco knockout match carries genuine uncertainty, which is exactly the kind of setup prediction markets are built for.

The 2026 World Cup is the first edition with 48 national teams competing, up from 32 at previous tournaments.

Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.