Madonna's Grammy odds surge as Queen of Pop surpasses Taylor Swift for coveted Album of the Year nod

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By JACQUES PETERSON, US ASSISTANT SHOWBIZ EDITOR

Published: 22:39 BST, 6 October 2026 | Updated: 22:40 BST, 6 October 2026

Madonna could be headed for another major career win following the release of her fifteenth studio album, Confessions II. 

After the album topped the Billboard 200 chart and received rave reviews from critics, it is now being tipped for a potential Album of the Year nomination at next year's Grammys.

While the record wasn't originally eyeing a nomination, Madonna's odds have significantly increased following her big night at the MTV VMAs last month.

The 68-year-old dominated the VMAs, taking home seven of the thirteen trophies she was nominated for.

Her biggest wins included Artist of the Year, Best Dance, and Best Album.

According to awards tracker website Gold Derby, Madonna is now gaining 'momentum' for next year's Grammys as a result of her VMAs victory.

Madonna's Confessions II is now tipped to earn an Album of the Year nomination at next year's Grammys following her victorious sweep at the MTV VMAs last month

Following the VMAs, Madonna has now moved ahead of Taylor Swift's The Life of a Showgirl in the Album of the Year category

'The VMAs gave Madonna a valuable platform to strengthen her case for a potential Album of the Year nomination at the Grammys,' the publication wrote.

'Her showcase wins and ceremony-opening number with assists from Sabrina Carpenter and Charli XCX— easily the performance highlight of the evening — guaranteed Confessions II will remain on Recording Academy voters’ radar, while the reception she received from fellow artists in the room suggests strong industry support.'

They added, 'the night reinforced her standing as one of the season’s most visible, viable contenders.'

Following the VMAs, Madonna has now moved ahead of Taylor Swift's The Life of a Showgirl in the Album of the Year category.

The Queen of Pop is currently in sixth place overall, trailing behind Olivia Dean, Olivia Rodrigo, Bruno Mars, Spanish singer Rosalia, and Raye. 

Madonna's chance at Grammys glory is already strong, with multiple outlets including Billboard and Forbes reporting that Confessions II is a shoo-in to be nominated for Best Dance/Electronic Album – and that it may even win.

If it does win, Madonna will become the first woman to ever win that category twice. 

She previously won the award in 2007 for Confessions on a Dance Floor.

'The VMAs gave Madonna a valuable platform to strengthen her case for a potential Album of the Year nomination at the Grammys,' wrote awards tracking website Gold Derby

Confessions II topped the Billboard 200 chart and is already one of the most critically acclaimed pop albums of 2026

Madonna hasn't been nominated for a Grammy since 2010, and she hasn't had an Album of the Year nomination since Ray of Light, which lost to The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill in 1999.

The Daily Mail has contacted reps for Madonna and Swift for comment.  

Confessions II is Madonna's most successful album in decades. 

The disc reached No. 1 in 17 countries, including in the US on the Billboard 200, and it spawned the hit single Bring Your Love with Sabrina Carpenter.

It's also one of the most critically-acclaimed albums of Madonna's entire career and has already been ranked as one of the best albums of 2026 by Vogue, Mojo, Stereogum and more.

Variety and Rolling Stone both hailed Confessions II as Madonna's best album in decades. 

Daily Mail's own Adrian Thrills gave the album four out of five stars, calling it 'uniformly excellent' and a return to the star's musical roots. 

Many critics praised the album's deeply personal lyrics, which touch on Madonna's relationship with her daughter Lourdes, her marriage to Sean Penn, her late stepmother Joan and brother Christopher, and her time as an up and coming artist on New York's Lower East Side.

The album also features collaborations with a number of younger pop acts, including Carpenter and Charli XCX, along with Madonna's fellow pop royalty Kylie Minogue.

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