Solana Weekly Chart Signals Key Accumulation Zone as Fractal Pattern Reappears

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TLDR:

  • Solana has corrected 77% from its $295 peak, mirroring past cycle retracement patterns.
  • The $31–$48 zone aligns with 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels and FVG demand.
  • A breakdown below $31 may expose deeper retracement toward the $17 region.
  • Fractal comparison projects long-term targets between $500 and $1,000 if the cycle repeats.

Solana’s weekly chart shows a deep retracement from its all-time high, with price now trading near critical Fibonacci levels.

Market observers are watching the $30–$50 range as a possible accumulation zone ahead of the next cycle.

Fractal Structure and Historical Price Cycles

The weekly SOL/USDT perpetual chart on Binance tracks two major bull cycles followed by sharp corrections. The first cycle saw Solana rally from $1.07 to about $260 between 2020 and 2021. That move represented a gain of more than 24,000%.

After that surge, the price corrected nearly 97% to around $7.78. The second cycle followed a similar pattern. Solana climbed from $7.78 to roughly $295, recording a gain near 3,700%. It then entered another prolonged correction phase.

Crypto market analyst Crypto Patel shared a fractal comparison on X, noting the current 77% decline from the all-time high. The post compared the present structure to the previous cycle’s deep retracement.

#Solana Fractal Alert: Last Time This Happened, It Pumped 24,234%

Cycle 1 ◉ 2020-2021: $1.07 → $260 (+24,234%)
Correction Phase ◉ Then Crashed -97% to $7.78

Cycle 2 ◉ 2022-2025: $7.78 → $295 (+3,700%)
Correction Phase ◉ Now down -77% from ATH

Pattern Suggests:$SOL Price… pic.twitter.com/yB2IwvX5xV

— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) February 14, 2026

The tweet stressed that past fractals do not guarantee future results and urged traders to manage risk.

At the time of analysis, SOL trades near $83. The chart shows that previous parabolic advances followed extended consolidation phases. This repeating structure forms the basis of the current long-term outlook.

Fibonacci Levels and Accumulation Zone in Focus

The chart shows key Fibonacci retracement levels based on the recent high of $295. The 0.382 level stands at $73.66, while the 0.5 level is near $47.96. The 0.618 level sits around $31.22, aligning with a strong area of demand.

A Fair Value Gap zone is identified between $31 and $48. This range overlaps with the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels. Traders often view such a confluence as a potential accumulation region during corrective phases.

If price holds above the 0.618 level, consolidation within this band may continue. However, a break below $31 could open the path toward the 0.786 retracement near $16.95. That level represents a deeper correction scenario.

The projected path on the chart outlines a possible rebound toward $100 and $150 in the medium term. Over a longer horizon, the fractal comparison points to potential targets between $500 and $1,000. These projections rely on historical cycle behavior rather than guarantees.

For now, market participants are tracking whether Solana stabilizes within the $30–$50 range. The coming weekly closes may determine whether the current structure transitions into a base for the next upward cycle.

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