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The Golden Globes will be handed out on Sunday, January 5, honoring 2024’s best film and TV — according to them, anyway. The newly formed voting body of 300 comprises programmers and seasoned journalists, which means we are still feeling the group out on taste and tendencies. Still, early indications have given us a hint of where they might send the most votes.
This year’s Golden Globe winners are going to be noteworthy not only because of their primetime placement at the beginning of the year, but moreover for the fact that they will be the first contest to decide many head-to-head matchups that we think will be mirrored by the Oscar nominations coming later this month and other contests.
If you’re going to be watching the Golden Globes and want to beat your buddies on a ballot, we’ve got you covered with our choices for who’s likely to win on the big night (and those who we feel truly deserve to win). Our awards expert, Jacqueline Coley, considers everything from industry buzz and the tastes and historical leanings of the Golden Globes to our Tomatometer and Popcornmeter Scores to read the tea leaves and place her bets. How right will she be? Bookmark this page for Sunday night and find out.
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Check out our picks for the Golden Globes winners, and let us know who you think will be a winner in the comments.
Best Motion Picture – Drama
What will win?
93%
Conclave
(2024)
Why?
The Brutalist is an incredible film and likely deserves to win, but Conclave sits better with the taste of their group. Remember The Fabelmans won over Tar, Oppenheimer over Killers of the Flower Moon, and 1917 over The Irishman. Conclave just makes more sense to appeal to the larger group, even with that polarizing ending.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
(Photo by Courtesy of Neon)
What will win?
94%
Anora
(2024)
Why?
Simply put, Wicked is funnier and more musical, but Anora is the clear global favorite.
Best Actress – Motion Picture Comedy
(Photo by Courtesy of Neon)
Who will win?
Mikey Madison, Anora (2024)
Why?
Cynthia Erivo slayed in Wicked, but the Anora momentum is a bit too difficult to argue against.
Best Actor – Motion Picture Drama
(Photo by Courtesy of A24)
Who will win?
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist (2024)
Why?
Sometimes the most acting wins. At 3.5 hours, it is hard to argue that the work Brody put into this one equals anything else. Sorry, Timmy. Lord knows you will be back.
Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama
(Photo by Courtesy of A24)
Who will win?
Nicole Kidman, Babygirl (2024)
Why?
Call us crazy for this one, but the Globes are historically extra, and you can call Nicole Kidman in Babygirl a lot of things, but you can’t say the role is not extra. Also, Kidman has had 17 Globe nominations and five wins across three decades. The Globes like her, they really, really like her.
Best Actor – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy
Who will win?
Hugh Grant, Heretic (2024)
Why?
Rolling the dice on this one. The Globes historically don’t go for horror or Hugh Grant outside of his win in 1995 for Four Weddings and a Funeral, but of the assorted nominees, he seems the one best able to garner full support. Many have Jesse Eisenberg, but to put it plainly, as brilliant as he is, A Real Pain is not something we haven’t seen him do before. The Globes LOVE rewarding an actor who is doing something new, and Hugh Grant in Heretic is deliciously new.
Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture
(Photo by Courtesy of Universal Pictures)
Who will win?
Ariana Grande, Wicked (2024)
Why?
Emilia Perez is transcendent, and Zoe Saldana is spectacular, but this is Ari’s moment. We are holding space all season for it, and this win should be the first one to solidify her upcoming run.
Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture
(Photo by Courtesy of Paramount)
Who will win?
Denzel Washington, Gladiator II (2024)
Why?
In the end, we picked Washington for the same reasons why RDJ won over Gosling in 2023 and Angela Bassett won over Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu in 2022: history, director, and pedigree.
Best Director
Who will win?
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist (2024)
Why?
Although many, including us, have praised Sean Baker’s direction, editing, and screenplay for Anora, The Brutalist is just too impressive to deny.
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
(Photo by Courtesy of Mubi)
Who will win?
90%
The Substance
(2024)
Why?
There is a very plausible scenario where Anora wins here, but The Substance seems to be peaking at just the right moment, so we will board the train.
Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
(Photo by Courtesy of Netflix)
What will win?
76%
Emilia Perez
(2024)
Why?
Is it even a question?
Best Motion Picture – Animated
What will win?
97%
Flow
(2024)
Why?
The Wild Robot is arguably the better Animated feature, and it comes in with three impressive nominations, but Globes rarely choose the conventional choice in this category.
Best Original Score – Motion Picture
(Photo by Courtesy of Amazon MGM)
What will win?
88%
Challengers
(2024)
Why?
Challengers should win, but the fact that means The Wild Robot won’t is nothing short of a tragedy.
Best Original Song – Motion Picture
Who will win?
“Mi Camino” – Emilia Perez (2024)
Why?
One of the Emilia Perez songs is the clear choice; Zoe Saldana kills it on “El Mal,” but “Mi Camino” is just a better listen. Challengers could stun here with a win, but we feel safe picking the grand musical.
Best Television Series – Drama
(Photo by Courtesy of Hulu/FX)
Who will win?
99%
Shōgun: Limited Series
(2024)
Best Actress – Television Drama
(Photo by Courtesy of Hulu/FX)
Who will win?
Anna Sawai, Shōgun: Limited Series (2024)
Best Actor – Television Drama
(Photo by Courtesy of Hulu/FX)
Who will win?
Hiroyuki Sanada, Shōgun: Limited Series (2024)
Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Who will win?
98%
Hacks: Season 3
(2024)
Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy
(Photo by Courtesy of MAX)
Who will win?
Jean Smart, Hacks: Season 3 (2024)
Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy
(Photo by Courtesy of Hulu/FX)
Who will win?
Jeremy Allen White, The Bear: Season 3 (2024)
Best Miniseries or Television Film
(Photo by Courtesy of Netflix)
Who will win?
99%
Baby Reindeer: Limited Series
(2024)
Best Actress – Miniseries or Television Film
(Photo by Courtesy of MAX)
Who will win?
Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country (2024)
Best Actor – Miniseries or Television Film
(Photo by Courtesy of MAX)
Who will win?
Colin Farrell, The Penguin: Limited Series (2024)
Best Supporting Actress – Series, Miniseries, or Television Film
(Photo by Courtesy of Netflix)
Who will win?
Best Supporting Actor – Series, Miniseries, or Television Film
(Photo by Courtesy of Hulu/FX)
Who will win?
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear: Season 3 (2024)
The 2025 Golden Globes ceremony, hosted by Nikki Glaser, will air live on CBS on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET, in addition to streaming on Paramount+ in the United States.
Thumbnail image by ©Universal Pictures
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