Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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Best Picture commentary (Updated Jan. 9, 2025): Brady Corbet’s historical epic “The Brutalist” was the big winner on the drama side at the Golden Globes, taking home best picture (drama), best director and best actor for Adrien Brody. The 215-minute film, distributed by A24, has been a critical success since its debut in Venice.
Still, history suggests caution: In the last decade, only three Golden Globe drama winners have gone on to win the Oscar for best picture — “Oppenheimer” (2023), “Nomadland” (2020) and “Moonlight” (2016). Ergo, watch out for screenplay winner “Conclave” to make a play for the top prize, which would be the first best picture winner ever for Focus Features.
Netflix may finally be close to achieving its long-coveted best picture Oscar with Jacques Audiard’s Spanish-language musical “Emilia Pérez.” The film won four Golden Globes, including best picture (comedy/musical), supporting actress for Zoe Saldaña, international feature and original song (“El Mal”). The streaming giant has come up short in past years with films like “Roma” (2018), “Mank” (2020) and “The Power of the Dog” (2021).
With “Emilia Pérez” also representing France in the international feature category at the Oscars, it could bring the country its first win in over 30 years. The last French film to win the category was “Indochine” in 1992. Perhaps we have a new “Parasite” on our hands.
But when it comes to Oscar voters, anything can happen.
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited artisans are not final and are subject to change.
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Image Credit: Universal Pictures
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Image Credit: Photo: Pief Weyman
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Image Credit: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection
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Image Credit: Courtesy Everett Collection
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Eligible Titles (Best Picture)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Neon
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More Information (Oscars: Best Picture)
2024 category winner: “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Emma Thomas, Charles Roven and Christopher Nolan FilmMagic
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About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Nineteen branches are represented within the nearly 11,000-person membership. The branches are actors, animators, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, sound, visual effects and writers.
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