Arthur Hayes Predicts Crypto Bull Run Extension to 2028 Due to Stablecoin Growth

TLDR

• BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes forecasts crypto bull market extending to 2028
• US GENIUS Act (2025) and EU MiCA regulations provide legal frameworks enhancing stablecoin legitimacy
• US aims to redirect $10-13 trillion Eurodollar market into government-controlled stablecoin ecosystems
• Stablecoins threaten traditional banking by reducing deposit availability and challenging central bank control
• DeFi platforms like Ethena and Hyperliquid positioned to benefit from massive stablecoin liquidity inflows

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has made a bold prediction about the cryptocurrency market, suggesting the current bull cycle could extend until 2028. Speaking at Tokyo’s WebX conference on August 25, Hayes attributed this extended growth to the rising adoption of stablecoins and major regulatory developments, particularly in the United States.

Stablecoins, cryptocurrencies pegged to traditional assets like the US dollar, have become central to the crypto ecosystem. These digital assets offer a solution to the volatility typically associated with cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Hayes believes their integration into mainstream financial systems will be key to prolonging the bull market.

The passage of the GENIUS Act in July 2025 marked a turning point for stablecoins in the US. This legislation established a legal framework for payment stablecoins, providing regulatory clarity for private companies issuing these digital assets. The European Union has similarly implemented its Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, reflecting a global trend toward stablecoin regulation.

US Government’s Strategic Stablecoin Push

Hayes outlined how America’s fiscal deficit is driving its stablecoin policy ambitions. The US government appears to be targeting the $10-13 trillion Eurodollar market, aiming to redirect these global dollar flows through government-controlled stablecoin ecosystems.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to pressure countries worldwide to adopt US stablecoins. This approach gives Washington greater control over offshore dollar deposits that were previously beyond US oversight.

The mechanism works through stablecoin issuers holding reserves in American banks and purchasing Treasury bonds with received funds. This provides the government with guaranteed debt buyers while enabling monetary policy control.

Through this system, Hayes explained that Bessent can potentially bypass the Federal Reserve to influence short-term interest rates. He projects stablecoin supply could reach $10 trillion as Federal funds rates drop to 2%, creating conditions to sustain the bull cycle through 2028.

DeFi Platforms Set to Benefit

Hayes highlighted several promising DeFi projects positioned to capitalize on stablecoin growth, including Ethena, Hyperliquid, Ether.Fi, and Codex. These platforms will provide yield opportunities that aren’t available in traditional banking systems.

The influx of massive stablecoin liquidity will create new investment possibilities across decentralized finance. Social media platforms like Facebook and X may offer dollar accounts to Global South countries, potentially generating $4 trillion in additional Treasury demand while weakening national currency controls.

Hayes described this transformation as a “once-in-a-century market opportunity” comparable to John Rockefeller’s era. He advised investors to monitor capital flows from centralized exchanges to decentralized platforms.

The expansion of stablecoins raises questions about their impact on traditional banking. Some analysts warn that increased stablecoin use could reduce the availability of deposits in traditional banks, limiting their ability to lend and support economic growth.

This shift could create challenges for monetary policy, as central banks may find it more difficult to control interest rates and liquidity when stablecoins compete directly with traditional financial instruments.

Despite these potential challenges, Hayes remains optimistic. He believes the next few years will see major advancements in blockchain technology, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption, all contributing to a prolonged bull market.

As the crypto industry continues to evolve, stablecoins are expected to play an increasingly important role in reshaping global financial systems, driven by demand for faster, more secure, and cost-effective transactions.

Hayes suggested that investors watch for capital flows from centralized exchanges to decentralized platforms as an indicator of this shift. The expanding stablecoin ecosystem will enable innovative financial services previously impossible under traditional banking structures.